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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Not started

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Johor Darul Takzim - Cartagena

Football
J
Johor Darul Takzim
- : -
Not started
C
Cartagena
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Johor Darul Takzim — 51%

1 · Johor Darul Takzim51.1%
X · draw18.9%
2 · Cartagena30.0%

Model estimate: win Johor Darul Takzim 51.1%, draw 18.9%, win Cartagena 30.0%. Model favourite — Johor Darul Takzim.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Johor Darul Takzim (odds2.30) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.73) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Dzhokhor 🇲🇾: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.73).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Johor Darul Takzim - Cartagena July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Johor Darul Takzim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / X 3.60 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 40.1%
X 25.7%
2 34.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.30 → 2.30
1X2 X 3.60 → 3.60
1X2 P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Johor Darul Takzim - Cartagena

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Johor Darul Takzim 40.2% 51.1% market and model agree
Draw 25.7% 18.9% draw risk
Cartagena 34.2% 30.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.1% / 18.9% / 30.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,471 / 1,500 Johor Darul Takzim / Cartagena
RD 256 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 958-1,984 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 30.0%
X 3.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.30 Fonbet · value +17.6% · model 51.1%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 81.1%
1X 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 70.0%
X2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 48.9%
Handicap
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.40 71.4%
x2 1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.73 57.8%
2.00 50.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.30 43.5%
X 3.60 27.8%
2.70 37.0%
Match center
Johor Darul Takzim
D L
24.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Johor Darul Takzim 0:0 Elche 🇪🇸
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Johor Darul Takzim 2:3 Al-Ittifak 🇸🇦
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points