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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή

Football
K
Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
- : -
Not started
S
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή β€” 52%

Pure model vs market (2 Β· SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή): model 35% Β· market 52% Ξ” βˆ’17 pp model estimates below the market

1 Β· Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή27.0%
X Β· draw21.5%
2 Β· SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή51.6%

Model estimate: win Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 27.0%, draw 21.5%, win SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 51.6%. Model favourite β€” SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή (odds3.54) Score 2:1 Under 3.5 (odds2.25) Handicap H1 +1 (odds1.65) confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή: probability 51% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.54)
  • • edge over the line +23 pp β€” value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1
  • • Total: Under 3.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • • at line 3.5 (odds 2.25)
  • • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.65).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / X 4.40 / 2 1.77

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 26.5%
X 21.1%
2 52.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.55 ↓ 3.50
1X2 X 4.30 ↑ 4.40
1X2 P2 1.75 ↑ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 2 : 2 SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
13.58
X4.10
21.73

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή - SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 25.9% 27.0%
Draw 21.5% 21.5% draw risk
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 52.6% 51.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.0% / 21.5% / 51.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,536 Kagran πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή / SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
RD 350 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,067-2,005 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.77 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 51.6%
X 4.40 Fonbet Β· draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.50 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 27.0%
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 78.5%
1X 1.93 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 48.4%
X2 1.25 Fonbet Β· no value Β· model 73.0%
Handicap
2 -1 2.21 market consensus Β· line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +1 1.65 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 3.64 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.26 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.64 27.5%
yes 1.26 79.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.93 51.8%
x2 1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.78 26.5%
X 2.63 38.0%
2.19 45.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.74 57.5%
Under 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Match center
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
D W L
26.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 2:2 Sankt-Pelten II πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
17.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 2:0 Stammersdorf πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
26.06 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
SV Donau πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή 1:6 SK Rapid II πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉSK Rapid II πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
4 Points