Match center
Start
03.07.2026 05:00 UTC
03.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Karpaty Lviv - Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
2
:
1
Finished
N
Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Karpaty Lviv - Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦 July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Karpaty Lviv.
Line favourite market consensus: Karpaty Lviv. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 4.32 / 2 7.15
- 1X2 market: Karpaty Lviv 65.9% / X 21.1% / Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦 12.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
1
66.1%
X
21.1%
2
12.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 5 books
1
1.40
Bet365
X
4.40
Marathonbet
2
8.00
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Karpaty Lviv
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 1.53
Conceded 1.37
xG 1.57
xGA 1.40
Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.69
Conceded 2.15
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Karpaty Lviv
Rating 1465
Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
Rating 1585
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Karpaty Lviv - Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.70
Fonbet · line only
X
4.30
Fonbet · line only
1
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.05
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.75
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.15
Fonbet · line only
2 0
5.30
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.63
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.96
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.40 22.7% |
| 7.95 12.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.30 15.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.00 12.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | — | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 7.40 13.5% |
Match center
Karpaty Lviv
D
Karpaty Lviv
1:1
Fenix Mariupol 🇺🇦
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKarpaty Lviv - Niva Ternopol 🇺🇦
Karpaty Lviv
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals