Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Katovitse π΅π± - Pyast Glivitse π΅π±
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Katovitse π΅π±: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
- • edge over the line +16 pp β value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.88).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Katovitse π΅π± - Pyast Glivitse π΅π± July 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / X 3.40 / 2 2.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
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Katovitse π΅π± - Pyast Glivitse π΅π±
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.40 71.4% |
| x2 | 1.53 65.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 3.65 27.4% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 1.15 87.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 2.00 50.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 3 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 4 | 4.15 24.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Under 3 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 4 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
Full head-to-head historyKatovitse π΅π± - Pyast Glivitse π΅π±