Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Khartberg π¦πΉ - Uypesht ππΊ
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Uypesht ππΊ β odds 2.75 Β· edge +5.7% Β· 3 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Khartberg π¦πΉ - Uypesht ππΊ July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Uypesht ππΊ.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.64 / X 3.30 / 2 2.42
- 1X2 market: Khartberg π¦πΉ 34.7% / X 27.7% / Uypesht ππΊ 37.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density β from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Khartberg π¦πΉ - Uypesht ππΊ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.81 35.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.78 36.0% | |
| X | 3.38 29.6% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.36 29.8% |
| 2.41 41.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.41 41.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 2.29 43.7% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1x | 1.41 70.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.44 29.1% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 2.94 34.0% |
Full head-to-head historyKhartberg π¦πΉ - Uypesht ππΊ