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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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29.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Charlton Athletic
K
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
:
2
Finished
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Charlton Athletic โ 47%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Charlton Athletic): model 34% ยท market 47% ฮ โ13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 27.2%, draw 26.1%, win Charlton Athletic 46.7%. Model favourite โ Charlton Athletic.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Charlton Athletic (odds1.89)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
โ outcome correct
- • Model backs Charlton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
- • no edge over the line (-3 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Charlton Athletic July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Charlton Athletic.
Strongest: Charlton Athletic - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.47 / X 3.48 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 26.3% / X 26.3% / Charlton Athletic 47.4%
- Glicko: Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 27.2% / X 26.1% / Charlton Athletic 46.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.4%
1
26.4%
X
26.3%
2
47.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.65
โ 6.40
1X2 X
1.52
โ 1.17
1X2 2
6.30
โ 11.50
โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2
:
1
Charlton Athletic
13.93
X3.60
21.87
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Charlton Athletic 47%
๐น Market
Charlton Athletic 4742%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Charlton Athletic
Form
5/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.761
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 46.7% fact: away
hit / ROI 98.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.761
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
26.1%
27.2%
Draw
26.3%
26.1%
draw risk
Charlton Athletic
47.5%
46.7%
market and model agree
1X2: 14 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
27.2% / 26.1% / 46.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,578 / 1,596
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ / Charlton Athletic
RD
292 / 222
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
994-2,162 / 1,153-2,040
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.92
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 46.7%
X
3.50
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.48
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 27.2%
Double chance
12
1.20
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 73.9%
1X
1.77
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 53.3%
X2
1.24
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 72.8%
Handicap
2 -1
2.54
market consensus ยท line only
2 +1
1.60
market consensus ยท line only
2 0
1.44
market consensus ยท line only
1 -1
2.15
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.75
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
1.98
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.07
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.70
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | |
| X | 3.52 28.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.98 50.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.71 58.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.10 11.0% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_11 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_5 | 75.00 1.3% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-0-0, avg 3.0 gls
2022-10-04 ยท Kolchester Yunayted 2:1 Charlton Atletik
Source: ruscore
Odds ยท 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3.85 (Pari) ยท X 4 (Pari) ยท 2 1.78 (Betcity)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.85 | 4 | 1.75 |
| Winline | 3.8 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Fonbet | 3.85 | 4 | 1.75 |
| Betcity | 3.5 | 4 | 1.78 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.77 |
Source: ruscore ยท line comparison
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
D
L
W
D
D
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:2
Vest Khem U21 ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
2:3
Peterboro Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
4:0
Kheybridzh ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:0
Kharlou ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0:0
Norvich ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Norvich ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Charlton Athletic
L
W
D
Charlton Athletic
0:2
Uimbldon ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Uimbldon ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Charlton Athletic
1:0
Gillingem ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Charlton Athletic
1:1
Maribor ๐ธ๐ฎ
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.7
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Charlton Athletic
Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Kolchester Yunayted ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ - Charlton Athletic breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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