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29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Konyaspor - Al Ittihad Kalba
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:
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Not started
A
Al Ittihad Kalba
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Konyaspor — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Konyaspor): model 35% · market 61% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Konyaspor 59.4%, draw 21.9%, win Al Ittihad Kalba 18.8%. Model favourite — Konyaspor.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Konyaspor (odds1.49)
Score 2:1
confidence 59%
- • Model backs Konyaspor 🇹🇷: probability 59% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Konyaspor - Al Ittihad Kalba July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Konyaspor.
Line favourite market consensus: Konyaspor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.10 / 2 5.00
- 1X2 market: Konyaspor 60.5% / X 21.7% / Al Ittihad Kalba 17.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 12.4%
1
60.5%
X
21.7%
2
17.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
1.50
→ 1.50
1X2 X
4.20
→ 4.20
1X2 P2
5.50
→ 5.50
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Konyaspor
2
:
1
Al Ittihad Kalba
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Konyaspor 59%
💹 Market
Konyaspor 6051%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Konyaspor - Al Ittihad Kalba
Form
3/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Konyaspor
60.9%
59.4%
market and model agree
Draw
21.9%
21.9%
draw risk
Al Ittihad Kalba
17.2%
18.8%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
59.4% / 21.9% / 18.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,323 / 1,500
Konyaspor / Al Ittihad Kalba
RD
209 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
905-1,741 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
Fonbet · no value · model 18.8%
X
4.20
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.50
Fonbet · no value · model 59.4%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet · no value · model 78.1%
1X
1.11
Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%
X2
2.40
Fonbet · no value · model 40.6%
Handicap
2 -1
1.90
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.90
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.54
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.38
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.16
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | Bet365 | Betfair |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.16 46.3% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 3_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
Match center
Konyaspor
L
L
W
Konyaspor
0:3
Khall 🏴
Konyaspor
1:3
Zalaegerseg 🇭🇺
Konyaspor
2:1
Zarya 🇺🇦
Zarya 🇺🇦
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.3
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKonyaspor - Al Ittihad Kalba
Konyaspor
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Konyaspor - Al Ittihad Kalba breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form