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28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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28.07.2026 14:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Konyaspor - Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
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Not started
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Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Konyaspor โ 59%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Konyaspor): model 35% ยท market 61% ฮ โ26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Konyaspor 59.0%, draw 22.0%, win Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช 19.0%. Model favourite โ Konyaspor.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Konyaspor (odds1.49)
Score 2:1
confidence 59%
- • Model backs Konyaspor ๐น๐ท: probability 59% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Konyaspor - Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Konyaspor.
Line favourite market consensus: Konyaspor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.10 / 2 5.00
- 1X2 market: Konyaspor 60.5% / X 21.7% / Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช 17.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 12.4%
1
60.5%
X
21.7%
2
17.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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๐ฅ Humans vs Machines
๐ Math model
Konyaspor 59%
๐น Market
Konyaspor 6051%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center
Konyaspor - Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
Form
3/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Konyaspor
60.6%
59.0%
market and model agree
Draw
22.0%
22.0%
draw risk
Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
17.4%
19.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
59.0% / 22.0% / 19.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,323 / 1,500
Konyaspor / Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
RD
209 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
905-1,741 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.08
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 19.0%
X
4.10
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.48
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 59.0%
Double chance
12
1.17
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 78.0%
1X
1.10
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 81.0%
X2
2.30
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 41.0%
Handicap
2 +1
1.89
market consensus ยท line only
1 -1
1.79
market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.54
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
2.38
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | Bet365 | Betfair |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.40 41.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 3_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% |
Match center
Konyaspor
L
L
W
Konyaspor
0:3
Khall ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Konyaspor
1:3
Zalaegerseg ๐ญ๐บ
Konyaspor
2:1
Zarya ๐บ๐ฆ
Zarya ๐บ๐ฆ
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.3
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKonyaspor - Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช
Konyaspor
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Konyaspor - Ittikhad Kalba ๐ฆ๐ช breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form