UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Korona Kielce - Zemplin Mikhaylovtse 🇸🇰
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Korona Kielce — 56%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Korona Kielce - Zemplin Mikhaylovtse 🇸🇰 July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Korona Kielce.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.27 / 2 4.71
- 1X2 market: Korona Kielce 58.4% / X 21.8% / Zemplin Mikhaylovtse 🇸🇰 19.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Korona Kielce - Zemplin Mikhaylovtse 🇸🇰
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.58 63.3% | |
| X | 4.30 23.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 4.78 20.9% | 4.10 24.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.85 20.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 2.14 46.7% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.96 51.0% | 6.30 15.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.26 44.3% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 4.87 20.5% |
Full head-to-head historyKorona Kielce - Zemplin Mikhaylovtse 🇸🇰