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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Cittadella

Football
K
Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
- : -
Not started
C
Cittadella
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” 72%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น): model 47% ยท market 74% ฮ” โˆ’27 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น ✓ Pick71.8%
market74%
X ยท draw16.8%
market16%
2 ยท Cittadella11.4%
market10%

Model estimate: win Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 71.8%, draw 16.8%, win Cittadella 11.4%. Model favourite โ€” Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Cittadella July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น.

Line favourite market consensus: Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 5.70 / 2 8.68
  • 1X2 market: Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 73.5% / X 15.9% / Cittadella 10.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 ✓ Pick 73.7%
X 15.9%
2 10.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.25 โ†’ 1.25
1X2 X 5.40 โ†’ 5.40
1X2 P2 10.50 โ†’ 10.50

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 1 : 1 Cittadella
11.25
X5.65
211.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
๐ŸฅŠ Humans vs Machines
๐Ÿ“ Math model Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 72%
๐Ÿ’น Market Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 7354%
Every pick locked before kickoff ยท public log
Match center

Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น - Cittadella

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 73.4% 71.8% market and model agree
Draw 16.5% 16.8% draw risk
Cittadella 10.1% 11.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.8% / 16.8% / 11.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,708 / 1,668 Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Cittadella
RD 291 / 287 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,126-2,290 / 1,094-2,242 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.75 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 11.4%
X 5.40 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.25 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 71.8%
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 83.2%
1X 1.01 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 88.6%
X2 3.55 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 28.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair
1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8%
X 5.60 17.9% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7%
8.05 12.4% 8.00 12.5% 10.00 10.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
1x — 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.23 31.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 26.00 3.9%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_11 100.00 1.0%
0_2 65.00 1.5%
0_3 100.00 1.0%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 11.00 9.1%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 23.00 4.4%
1_3 75.00 1.3%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W
24.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Kremoneze ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 4:0 Dzhana Erminio ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Cittadella
W
25.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Cittadella 1:0 Torino ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points