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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

29.07.2026 16:45 UTC

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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Crusaders - Newington

Football

Crusaders

- : -

Not started

Newington

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Crusaders — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Crusaders): model 48% · market 42% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Crusaders55.3%

X · draw22.2%

2 · Newington22.4%

Model estimate: win Crusaders 55.3%, draw 22.2%, win Newington 22.4%. Model favourite — Crusaders.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Crusaders (odds1.63) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Kruseyders (Sir): probability 50% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
• no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crusaders - Newington July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Crusaders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 2.50 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%

1 41.6%

X 36.6%

2 21.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Crusaders 4 : 1 Newington

11.62

X4.05

24.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:1 · 58'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

58'

42% 37% 22%

Crusaders (1) Draw (X) Newington (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center

Start 29.07.2026 16:45 UTC

Match center

Crusaders - Newington

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Crusaders 55.8% 55.3% market and model agree

Draw 22.2% 22.2% draw risk

Newington 22.0% 22.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 55.3% / 22.2% / 22.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,499 / 1,423 Crusaders / Newington

RD 212 / 218 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,075-1,924 / 987-1,859 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 22.4%

X 2.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.20 Fonbet · value +21.8% · model 55.3%

Double chance

12 1.45 Fonbet · value +12.8% · model 77.8%

1X 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 77.6%

X2 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 44.7%

Handicap

2 +1 1.69 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.08 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.52 65.8%	2.81 35.6%
yes	2.35 42.6%	1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.19 84.0%	1.45 69.0%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.20 83.3%
x2	2.14 46.7%	1.60 62.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.14 46.7%
X	2.48 40.3%
	4.35 23.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5	1.98 50.5%
Under 0.5	4.41 22.7%
Under 1.5	1.74 57.5%

Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.7 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.3 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.63	4.3	4.3
Winline	1.63	4.1	4.1
Fonbet	1.63	4.3	4.3
Betcity	1.63	4.1	4.1
Liga Stavok	1.7	4.1	3.9

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Crusaders

L W D W W

25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Crusaders 1:2 Moyola (Sir)

21.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Crusaders 2:0 Glenavon (Sir)

18.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Crusaders 0:0 Ballinamallard (Sir)

11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Crusaders 2:0 Uorrenpoint (Sir)

04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Crusaders 2:1 Kuin of ze Saut 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Newington

L W L

18.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newington 0:1 Kliftonvill (Sir)

11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newington 2:1 Ballimakesh (Sir)

04.07 11:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newington 1:2 Bangor (Sir)

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.3 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrusaders - Newington

Crusaders

0 matches total

Newington

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Crusaders - Newington

AI match prediction Crusaders - Newington July 29, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Score prediction

Now in play

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

Buy the full AI analysis

Crusaders - Newington

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match history