Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
La Nucia - Intercity
La Nucia take on Intercity on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): La Nucia 2-2-1, Intercity 2-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Intercity — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Intercity): model 33% · market 47% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win La Nucia 26.5%, draw 27.7%, win Intercity 45.8%. Model favourite — Intercity.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs La-Nusiya 🇪🇸: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction La Nucia - Intercity August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.65 / X 3.40 / 2 1.95
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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La Nucia - Intercity
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.64 61.0% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% |
| x2 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.04 24.8% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 2.63 38.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | 1.78 56.2% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.55 39.2% | — | |
| — | — | — | 1.97 50.8% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.45 69.0% | — |
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.65 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
| Winline | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.94 |
| Fonbet | 3.65 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.96 |
Full head-to-head historyLa Nucia - Intercity
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The La Nucia - Intercity breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form