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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Not started

Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

La Nucia - Intercity

Football
L
La Nucia
- : -
Not started
I
Intercity

La Nucia take on Intercity on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): La Nucia 2-2-1, Intercity 2-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Intercity46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Intercity): model 33% · market 47% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · La Nucia26.5%
X · draw27.7%
2 · Intercity45.8%

Model estimate: win La Nucia 26.5%, draw 27.7%, win Intercity 45.8%. Model favourite — Intercity.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1La Nucia (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • Model backs La-Nusiya 🇪🇸: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction La Nucia - Intercity August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Intercity. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.65 / X 3.40 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4% 4 books
1 25.4%
X 28.0%
2 46.6%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.65 → 3.65
1X2 X 3.40 → 3.40
1X2 P2 1.95 → 1.95

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

La Nucia 1 : 1 Intercity
13.50
X3.28
21.96

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 25.3% @ 3.65 / X 27.2% @ 3.40 / 2 47.4% @ 1.95
Match center

La Nucia - Intercity

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
La Nucia 25.4% 26.5%
Draw 28.0% 27.7% draw risk
Intercity 46.6% 45.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.5% / 27.7% / 45.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 La Nucia / Intercity
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 Fonbet · no value · model 45.8%
X 3.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.65 Fonbet · no value · model 26.5%
Double chance
12 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
1X 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 54.2%
X2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 73.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.64 61.0% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1%
x2 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.04 24.8%
X 2.12 47.2%
2.63 38.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.89 52.9%
Under 1 1.84 54.4%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.78 56.2%
2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2%
1.97 50.8%
1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.65 (Pari) · X 3.4 (Pari) · 2 1.96 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.65 3.4 1.95
Winline 3.55 3.35 1.94
Fonbet 3.65 3.4 1.95
Liga Stavok 3.55 3.35 1.96
Source: ruscore · line comparison
La Nucia
W D D W L
2026-06-20 Tercera RFEF 25/26, Promotion Finals
La Nucia La Nucia 1:0 Trival Valderas
2026-06-14 Tercera RFEF 25/26, Promotion Finals
La Nucia Trival Valderas 0:0 La Nucia
2026-06-07 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 6, Promotion Playoffs
La Nucia Atletico Levante UD 1:1 La Nucia
2026-05-31 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 6, Promotion Playoffs
La Nucia La Nucia 1:0 Atletico Levante UD
2026-05-24 Tercera Federacion 25/26, Group 6, Promotion Playoffs
La Nucia Atletico Saguntino 1:0 La Nucia
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Intercity
W W L L L
2026-05-03 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Group 5
Intercity 2:0 Colonia Moscardo Intercity
2026-04-26 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Group 5
Getafe B 0:1 Intercity Intercity
2026-04-19 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Group 5
Intercity 1:2 Quintanar del Rey Intercity
2026-04-12 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B 3:1 Intercity Intercity
2026-04-05 Segunda Federacion 25/26, Group 5
Intercity 0:2 San Sebastian Reyes Intercity
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLa Nucia - Intercity

La Nucia
0 matches total
Intercity
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history