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UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg

Pescara - San Giovanni Teatino

Football
P
Pescara
2 : 1
Finished
S
San Giovanni Teatino
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 San Giovanni Teatino — 48%

1 · Pescara32.7%
X · draw18.9%
2 · San Giovanni Teatino48.4%

Model estimate: win Pescara 32.7%, draw 18.9%, win San Giovanni Teatino 48.4%. Model favourite — San Giovanni Teatino.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pescara - San Giovanni Teatino July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Pescara 32.7% / X 18.9% / San Giovanni Teatino 48.4%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.05 ↓ 1.02
1X2 X 2.15 ↑ 11.50
1X2 2 7.90 ↑ 25.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Pescara - San Giovanni Teatino

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.723 / LogLoss 1.118
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.723 / LogLoss 1.118
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pescara 88.5% 32.7% market favourite
Draw 7.9% 18.9% draw risk
San Giovanni Teatino 3.6% 48.4% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.7% / 18.9% / 48.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,374 / 1,500 Pescara / San Giovanni Teatino
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 792-1,956 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.02 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.7%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.1%
1X 1.04 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.6%
Handicap
2 0 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 15.00 6.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
6.10 16.4%
9.00 11.1%
1.20 83.3%
1.09 91.7%
1.04 96.2%
4.00 25.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 3.5 7.70 13.0%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
X 11.50 8.7%
25.00 4.0%
Match center
Pescara
L
28.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Pescara 0:1 Bari 🇮🇹
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points