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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Lanciano - Bari

Football
L
Lanciano
- : -
Finished
B
Bari
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bari — 84%

1 · Lanciano5.4%
X · draw10.6%
2 · Bari ✓ Pick84.0%

Model estimate: win Lanciano 5.4%, draw 10.6%, win Bari 84.0%. Model favourite — Bari.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lanciano - Bari July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 14.00 → 14.00
1X2 X 7.10 → 7.10
1X2 P2 1.15 → 1.15

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lanciano 1 : 1 Bari
119.50
X10.60
21.07

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 0:1 · 92'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

0:1 91'
Lanciano Bari
49Attacks99
33Dangerous attacks81
4Shots on target6
72%Control (ball-safe)46%
2Corners9
11Fouls10

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Lanciano - Bari

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lanciano 2.9% 5.4%
Draw 9.8% 10.6% draw risk
Bari 87.2% 84.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 5.4% / 10.6% / 84.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Lanciano / Bari
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.0%
X 9.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 89.4%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 16.0%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 94.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.41 70.9%
yes 9.50 10.5% 2.75 36.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
1x 7.00 14.3% 9.10 11.0% 9.50 10.5%
x2 — — 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
15.60 6.4%
X 3.23 31.0%
1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 0.5 3.91 25.6%
Under 1.5 1.81 55.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLanciano - Bari

Lanciano
0 matches total
Bari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history