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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

World: Club Friendlies

Lansarote 🇪🇸 - Arenas Klub 🇪🇸

Football
L
Lansarote 🇪🇸
- : -
Not started
A
Arenas Klub 🇪🇸

Lansarote 🇪🇸 go head-to-head with Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 on August 7, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 — 55%

1 · Lansarote 🇪🇸26.8%
X · draw17.9%
2 · Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 ✓ Pick55.3%

Model estimate: win Lansarote 🇪🇸 26.8%, draw 17.9%, win Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 55.3%. Model favourite — Arenas Klub 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lansarote 🇪🇸 - Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 August 7, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Arenas Klub 🇪🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.10 / X 4.30 / 2 1.36

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0% 3 books · best price +3.0%
1 10.0%
X 21.1%
2 ✓ Pick 68.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 10.2% @ 9.10 / X 21.6% @ 4.30 / 2 68.2% @ 1.36
Match center

Lansarote 🇪🇸 - Arenas Klub 🇪🇸

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lansarote 🇪🇸 11.2% 26.8%
Draw 21.4% 17.9% draw risk
Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 67.4% 55.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 26.8% / 17.9% / 55.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,764 Lansarote 🇪🇸 / Arenas Klub 🇪🇸
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,182-2,347 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 55.3%
X 4.30 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 8.77 market consensus · no value · model 26.8%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 82.1%
1X 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 44.7%
X2 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 73.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.18 84.8%
1x 2.80 35.7% 3.10 32.3%
x2 — 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
7.60 13.2%
X 2.53 39.5%
1.75 57.1%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6%
1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%

Team To Score First

Outcome Leon
3.63 27.6%
X 12.40 8.1%
1.38 72.5%
Match center
Arenas Klub 🇪🇸
W
03.08 17:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Arenas Klub 🇪🇸 5:1 Amorebeta 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points