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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

World: Club Friendlies

Leganes 🇪🇸 - Merida AD 🇪🇸

Football
Leganes 🇪🇸
Leganes 🇪🇸
- : -
Not started
M
Merida AD 🇪🇸

Leganes 🇪🇸 go head-to-head with Merida AD 🇪🇸 on August 3, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leganes 🇪🇸 1-3-1, Merida AD 🇪🇸 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Leganes 🇪🇸 — 54%

1 · Leganes 🇪🇸54.0%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Merida AD 🇪🇸26.7%

Model estimate: win Leganes 🇪🇸 54.0%, draw 19.4%, win Merida AD 🇪🇸 26.7%. Model favourite — Leganes 🇪🇸.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leganes 🇪🇸 (odds2.15) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Leganes 🇪🇸: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.15)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leganes 🇪🇸 - Merida AD 🇪🇸 August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Leganes 🇪🇸 - Merida AD 🇪🇸

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leganes 🇪🇸 - 54.0% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Merida AD 🇪🇸 - 26.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.0% / 19.4% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,568 / 1,526 Leganes 🇪🇸 / Merida AD 🇪🇸
RD 188 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,191-1,945 / 1,046-2,007 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Leganes 🇪🇸
D W D D L
28.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 0:0 Real Madrid 🇪🇸Real Madrid 🇪🇸
24.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 2:0 Penafiel 🇵🇹
22.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 0:0 Nacional 🇵🇹
17.07 06:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 0:0 Albasete 🇪🇸
11.07 15:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leganes 🇪🇸 1:2 Levante 🇪🇸
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
6 Points
Merida AD 🇪🇸
W L
28.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Merida AD 🇪🇸 2:0 Al-Nasr 🇸🇦
25.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Merida AD 🇪🇸 0:4 Benfika (B) 🇵🇹
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points