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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Leicester - Genoa

Football
Leicester
Leicester
- : -
Not started
G
Genoa

Leicester meet Genoa on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leicester 4-1-0, Genoa 1-2-2. The market favourite is Leicester at roughly 38%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Leicester40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Leicester): model 61% · market 38% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Leicester40.2%
X · draw27.3%
2 · Genoa32.5%

Model estimate: win Leicester 40.2%, draw 27.3%, win Genoa 32.5%. Model favourite — Leicester.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leicester (odds3.20) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Lester 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
  • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leicester - Genoa August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leicester.

Line favourite market consensus: Leicester. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.29 / 2 2.70
  • 1X2 market: Leicester 38.4% / X 27.8% / Genoa 33.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 38.4%
X 27.8%
2 33.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.35 → 2.35
1X2 X 3.35 → 3.35
1X2 P2 2.80 → 2.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Leicester
#2114 ptsGP 21-1-04:3
Genoa
#2154 ptsGP 21-1-04:3
Best price across 9 books
1 3.25 Superbet
X 3.55 Dafabet
2 2.11 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Leicester
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.87 Conceded 0.91 xG 1.64 xGA 1.33
Genoa
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.96 Conceded 1.76 xG 1.86 xGA 1.04

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Leicester
Rating 1897
Genoa
Rating 1605

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Leicester 2 : 1 Genoa
12.40
X3.35
22.84

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 38.4% @ 2.38 / X 27.8% @ 3.29 / 2 33.8% @ 2.70
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Leicester 40%
💹 Market Leicester 3837%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Leicester - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leicester 38.9% 40.2% market and model agree
Draw 27.8% 27.3% draw risk
Genoa 33.3% 32.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.2% / 27.3% / 32.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,884 / 1,561 Leicester / Genoa
RD 194 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,496-2,271 / 1,047-2,075 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · no value · model 32.5%
X 3.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 40.2%
Double chance
12 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 72.7%
1X 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 67.5%
X2 1.53 Fonbet · no value · model 59.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.22 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.33 42.9% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3%
2.70 37.0% 2.83 35.3% 2.62 38.2% 2.77 36.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.38 72.5%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 8.50 11.8%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 26.00 3.9%
0_4 61.00 1.6%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 51.00 2.0%
2_5 126.00 0.8%
Match center
Leicester
D W W W W
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leicester Malaga 3:3 Leicester
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leicester Cadiz 0:1 Leicester
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leicester Burton Albion 0:3 Leicester
2026-07-14 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leicester Bristol Rovers 1:2 Leicester
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
Leicester Leicester 3:0 Northampton Town
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Genoa
D W L L D
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genoa 2:2 Vicenza Genoa
2026-07-19 Club Friendly Games 2026
Genoa 2:1 Trento Genoa
2026-05-24 Serie A 25/26
Lecce 1:0 Genoa Genoa
2026-05-17 Serie A 25/26
Genoa 1:2 Milan Genoa
2026-05-10 Serie A 25/26
Fiorentina 0:0 Genoa Genoa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Genoa

Leicester
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history