Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Leicester - Genoa
Leicester meet Genoa on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Leicester 4-1-0, Genoa 1-2-2. The market favourite is Leicester at roughly 38%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Leicester — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Leicester): model 61% · market 38% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Leicester 40.2%, draw 27.3%, win Genoa 32.5%. Model favourite — Leicester.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Lester 🏴: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
- • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leicester - Genoa August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leicester.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.29 / 2 2.70
- 1X2 market: Leicester 38.4% / X 27.8% / Genoa 33.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Leicester - Genoa
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.33 42.9% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.36 29.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.14 46.7% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.38 72.5% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
Leicester
Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Genoa
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form