Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Leicester - Genoa
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Leicester โ 66%
Model estimate: win Leicester 66.5%, draw 16.2%, win Genoa 17.3%. Model favourite โ Leicester.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Lester ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
- • edge over the line +19 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leicester - Genoa August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.60 / 2 2.07
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
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Leicester - Genoa
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.66 60.2% | 1.71 58.5% |
| x2 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.81 26.3% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 2.64 37.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.00 50.0% |
Leicester
Berton Albion ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Bristol Rovers ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Nortkhempton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Genoa
Match history
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The Leicester - Genoa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form