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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Leicester - Genoa

Football
Leicester
Leicester
- : -
Not started
G
Genoa
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Leicester โ€” 66%

1 ยท Leicester ✓ Pick66.5%
market28%
X ยท draw16.2%
market26%
2 ยท Genoa17.3%
market45%

Model estimate: win Leicester 66.5%, draw 16.2%, win Genoa 17.3%. Model favourite โ€” Leicester.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leicester (odds3.20) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Lester ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
  • edge over the line +19 pp โ€” value pick
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leicester - Genoa August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.60 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 ✓ Pick 28.5%
X 26.1%
2 45.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Leicester
#2084 ptsGP 21-1-04:3
ARRAY
Genoa
#2124 ptsGP 21-1-04:3
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Leicester
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.87 Conceded 0.91 xG 1.64 xGA 1.33
Genoa
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.96 Conceded 1.76 xG 1.86 xGA 1.04

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Leicester
Rating 1897
Genoa
Rating 1605

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 28.5% @ 3.30 / X 26.1% @ 3.60 / 2 45.4% @ 2.07
Match center

Leicester - Genoa

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leicester 28.7% 66.5% Glicko contrarian
Draw 26.2% 16.2% draw risk
Genoa 45.2% 17.3% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 66.5% / 16.2% / 17.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,884 / 1,561 Leicester / Dzhenoa ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
RD 194 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,496-2,271 / 1,047-2,075 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 17.3%
X 3.52 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.24 market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 66.5%
Double chance
12 1.25 market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 83.8%
1X 1.69 market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 82.7%
X2 1.29 market consensus ยท Glicko and market diverge ยท not marked as value ยท model 33.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.53 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 2.39 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.66 60.2% 1.71 58.5%
x2 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.81 26.3%
X 2.18 45.9%
2.64 37.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Leicester
D W W W W
25.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leicester 3:3 Malaga ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
22.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leicester 1:0 Kadis ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leicester 3:0 Berton Albion ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟBerton Albion ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
15.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leicester 2:1 Bristol Rovers ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟBristol Rovers ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
11.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Leicester 3:0 Nortkhempton ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟNortkhempton ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Genoa
D W
25.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Genoa 2:2 Vichentsa Virtus ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
19.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Genoa 2:1 Trento ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeicester - Genoa

Leicester
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history