UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Linfild (Sir) - Kilmarnok 🏴
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Linfild (Sir) - Kilmarnok 🏴 July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kilmarnok 🏴.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.57 / 2 2.02
- 1X2 market: Linfild (Sir) 29.6% / X 25.4% / Kilmarnok 🏴 45.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Linfild (Sir) - Kilmarnok 🏴
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.08 32.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.02 33.1% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.55 28.2% |
| 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.76 56.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 6.30 15.9% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.17 85.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.35 23.0% | |
| X | 2.27 44.1% |
| 2.32 43.1% |
Full head-to-head historyLinfild (Sir) - Kilmarnok 🏴