Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Llanera take on Lealtad on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Llanera 5-0-0, Lealtad 1-1-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Llanera — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Llanera): model 44% · market 40% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Llanera 39.8%, draw 25.8%, win Lealtad 34.4%. Model favourite — Llanera.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| X | 2.41 41.5% |
| 3.05 32.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.01 49.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| X | 17.60 5.7% |
| 2.02 49.5% |
Full head-to-head historyLlanera - Lealtad
The Llanera - Lealtad breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
