Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Hertha Berlin

Futbol
L
Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
1 : 3
Finished
H
Hertha Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Hertha Berlin July 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hertha Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Hertha Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.10 / X 6.50 / 2 1.19
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 9.2% / X 14.1% / Hertha Berlin 76.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 9.1%
X 14.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 12 books
1 15.00 Marathonbet
X 8.50 Bet365
2 1.19 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.40 xG 2.05 xGA 1.28
Hertha Berlin
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 4.43 Conceded 0.71 xG 1.65 xGA 1.20

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
Rating 1644
Hertha Berlin
Rating 1840

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 1 : 3 Hertha Berlin

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ - Hertha Berlin

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
X 7.40 Fonbet Β· line only
1 8.93 market consensus Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 3.90 market consensus Β· line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.25 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +1 3.45 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 8.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
8.80 11.4% 11.50 8.7% 9.50 10.5% 9.25 10.8% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1%
X 5.80 17.2% 6.70 14.9% 7.00 14.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3%
1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%
1x 3.60 27.8% 4.20 23.8% 11.00 9.1%
x2 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 29.00 3.5%
0_1 11.00 9.1%
0_2 7.50 13.3%
0_3 7.50 13.3%
0_4 9.50 10.5%
0_5 15.00 6.7%
0_6 29.00 3.5%
0_7 56.00 1.8%
0_8 101.00 1.0%
1_0 29.00 3.5%
1_1 12.00 8.3%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 8.00 12.5%
1_4 10.00 10.0%
1_5 17.00 5.9%
1_6 31.00 3.2%
1_7 61.00 1.6%
1_8 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
D
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Leyptsig πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ 3:3 Kladno πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Hertha Berlin
W W
08.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Hertha Berlin 9:0 Likhtenberg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Hertha Berlin 15:0 Frohnauer πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
12.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points