Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Lokomotiv Plovdiv π§π΄ - Arda Kardzhali
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lokomotiv Plovdiv π§π΄ - Arda Kardzhali July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 3.85 / 2 11.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density β from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Lokomotiv Plovdiv π§π΄ - Arda Kardzhali
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.13 88.5% | 1.93 51.8% |
| yes | 4.80 20.8% | 1.81 55.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.46 68.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 9.50 10.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.66 27.3% | |
| X | 2.11 47.4% |
| 2.84 35.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv Plovdiv π§π΄ - Arda Kardzhali