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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Mallorca - PSG

Football
M
Mallorca
- : -
Not started
P
PSG

Mallorca meet PSG on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mallorca 3-0-2, PSG 2-2-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 PSG — 52%

Pure model vs market (2 · PSG): model 20% · market 54% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mallorca27.8%
X · draw19.9%
2 · PSG52.2%

Model estimate: win Mallorca 27.8%, draw 19.9%, win PSG 52.2%. Model favourite — PSG.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mallorca (odds1.83) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • • Model backs Malorka 🇪🇸: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - PSG August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: PSG. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / X 4.70 / 2 1.72

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7% 4 books · best price +1.5%
1 25.7%
X 20.0%
2 54.3%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 3.70 → 3.70
1X2 X 4.70 → 4.70
1X2 P2 1.72 → 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Mallorca
#796 ptsGP 22-0-07:2
PSG
not in table
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Mallorca
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 2.50 Conceded 0.46 xG 2.00 xGA 0.79
PSG
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.95 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.76 xGA 1.31 Corners 4.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 25.4% @ 3.70 / X 20.0% @ 4.70 / 2 54.6% @ 1.72
Match center

Mallorca - PSG

football, Malorka - PSZh, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Malorka - PSZh, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Club Friendlies 2026.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mallorca 25.7% 27.8%
Draw 20.0% 19.9% draw risk
PSG 54.3% 52.2% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.8% / 19.9% / 52.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,820 / 1,500 Malorka 🇪🇸 / PSZh 🇫🇷
RD 243 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,333-2,307 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
X 4.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.70 Fonbet · no value · model 27.8%
Double chance
12 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 80.1%
1X 2.05 Fonbet · no value · model 47.8%
X2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.75 36.4% 2.64 37.9%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
1x 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.09 24.5%
X 2.65 37.7%
2.09 47.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 1.5 1.71 58.5%
Match center
Mallorca
W W W L L
2026-07-30 Club Friendly Games 2026
Mallorca Mallorca 4:2 Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Mallorca Mallorca 3:0 Al-Fateh
2026-05-23 LaLiga 25/26
Mallorca Mallorca 3:0 Oviedo
2026-05-17 LaLiga 25/26
Mallorca Levante 2:0 Mallorca
2026-05-13 LaLiga 25/26
Mallorca Getafe 3:1 Mallorca
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
PSG
D L W W D
2026-05-30 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage
PSG 1:1 Arsenal PSG
2026-05-17 Ligue 1 25/26
Paris FC 2:1 PSG PSG
2026-05-13 Ligue 1 25/26
Lens 0:2 PSG PSG
2026-05-10 Ligue 1 25/26
PSG 1:0 Stade Brestois 29 PSG
2026-05-06 UEFA Champions League 25/26, Knockout stage
Bayern 1:1 PSG PSG
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - PSG

Mallorca
0 matches total
PSG
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Mallorca
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 PSG
Mallorca Team comparison PSG
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Malorka PSZh 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 10% 14% 76% Double chance 12% 43% 45% Materialy po prognozam Segodnya «PSZh» and «Arsenal» voydut v istoriyu «PSZh» — «Arsenal»: Safonov stanet dvukratnym Ne Safonov, no Khvicha! Vybiraem glavnogo geroya final «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Nikakogo otkrytogo futbola! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Arsenal» Krepkikh nervov Safonovu and Noyeru: prognoz na match «Bavariya» — «PSZh» V «Barsu» veryat, v «Liverpul» and «Real» — No. Chego zhdat ot otvetnykh matches quarter-final LCh «Bavariya», «PSZh» and «Real» vpechatlili, no oni ne favority Ligi chempionov! «Arsenal» — favorit, «Real» protiv «Siti», a kto vyigraet Ligu chempionov? Arteta and zdes lider, «Barsa» blizka k stykam. Rasklady na poslednie tury Ligi chempionov Kvadruplu byt! Chego zhdat ot final Ligi chempionov «PSZh» — «Inter» CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], x