Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Maritimo meet Nacional Madeira on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Maritimo 2-1-2, Nacional Madeira 0-3-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Maritimo — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Maritimo): model 47% · market 31% Δ +16 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Maritimo 39.8%, draw 25.9%, win Nacional Madeira 34.3%. Model favourite — Maritimo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
score 0:0 · 51'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.15 87.0% | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 4.50 22.2% | 1.65 60.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.65 60.6% |
| 1x | 1.35 74.1% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.35 74.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.93 34.1% | |
| X | 2.22 45.1% |
| 3.25 30.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Under 1 | 2.05 48.8% |
Leganes 🇪🇸
Full head-to-head historyMaritimo - Nacional Madeira
The Maritimo - Nacional Madeira breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
