Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Maritimu π΅πΉ meet Nacional Madeira on August 1, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Maritimu π΅πΉ 2-1-2, Nacional Madeira 0-3-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Maritimu π΅πΉ β 40%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Maritimu π΅πΉ): model 47% Β· market 40% Ξ +7 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Maritimu π΅πΉ 40.0%, draw 25.8%, win Nacional Madeira 34.2%. Model favourite β Maritimu π΅πΉ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.35 74.1% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.46 68.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 58.5% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.97 50.8% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.65 37.7% |
Leganes πͺπΈ
Full head-to-head historyMaritimu π΅πΉ - Nacional Madeira
The Maritimu π΅πΉ - Nacional Madeira breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
