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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
04.08.2026 11:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 11:00 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

AC Milan - Inter

Football
AC Milan
AC Milan
- : -
Not started
I
Inter

AC Milan face Inter on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): AC Milan 0-1-0, Inter 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Inter โ€” 39%

Pure model vs market (2 ยท Inter): model 43% ยท market 41% ฮ” +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 ยท AC Milan34.1%
X ยท draw27.3%
2 ยท Inter38.6%

Model estimate: win AC Milan 34.1%, draw 27.3%, win Inter 38.6%. Model favourite โ€” Inter.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Inter (odds2.37) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Inter ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp โ€” value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AC Milan - Inter August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 3.60 / 2 2.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 3 books
1 33.0%
X 26.2%
2 40.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
AC Milan
#7281 ptsGP 10-1-02:2
Inter
#2104 ptsGP 21-1-03:2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
AC Milan
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.78 Conceded 1.64 xG 1.39 xGA 1.70 Corners 1.8
Inter
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 1.65 Conceded 0.98 xG 2.21 xGA 1.16 Corners 5.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
AC Milan
Rating 1658
Inter
Rating 1853

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 33.0% @ 2.85 / X 26.1% @ 3.60 / 2 40.9% @ 2.30
Match center

AC Milan - Inter

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
AC Milan 34.1% 34.1%
Draw 27.6% 27.3% draw risk
Inter 38.3% 38.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.1% / 27.3% / 38.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,475 / 1,648 Milan ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Inter ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
RD 273 / 276 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 929-2,020 / 1,097-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.28 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 38.6%
X 3.51 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.80 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 34.1%
Double chance
12 1.25 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 72.7%
1X 1.56 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 61.4%
X2 1.38 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 65.9%
Handicap
2 0 1.69 market consensus ยท line only
1 0 2.08 market consensus ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.54 64.9% 1.58 63.3%
x2 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.38 29.6%
X 2.20 45.5%
2.85 35.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Under 1 2.21 45.3%
Match center
AC Milan
D
25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AC Milan 2:2 Seltik ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟSeltik ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Inter
W
26.07 12:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Inter 2:1 Karlsrue ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Inter

AC Milan
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history