Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
AC Milan - Inter
AC Milan face Inter on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): AC Milan 0-1-0, Inter 1-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Inter the favourite at about 41%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Inter โ 41%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Inter): model 43% ยท market 41% ฮ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win AC Milan 32.8%, draw 25.9%, win Inter 41.3%. Model favourite โ Inter.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Inter ๐ฎ๐น: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
- • edge over the line +8 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AC Milan - Inter August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.54 / 2 2.25
- 1X2 market: AC Milan 32.8% / X 26.1% / Inter 41.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 13 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AC Milan - Inter
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.88 34.7% | |
| X | 3.52 28.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.52 28.4% |
| 2.29 43.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.27 44.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.51 66.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 1_5 | 80.00 1.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.75 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
| Winline | 2.8 | 3.65 | 2.22 |
| Fonbet | 2.75 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
| Betcity | 2.75 | 3.4 | 2.46 |
AC Milan
Seltik ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ
Full head-to-head historyAC Milan - Inter
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form