Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Monaco meet Getafe on August 6, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Monaco 1-1-3, Getafe 3-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Monaco — 55%
Model estimate: win Monaco 55.2%, draw 18.7%, win Getafe 26.1%. Model favourite — Monaco.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.23 81.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.34 42.7% | |
| X | 2.19 45.7% |
| 4.62 21.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.1 | 3.65 | 3.15 |
| Winline | 2.37 | 3.45 | 2.6 |
| Fonbet | 2.1 | 3.65 | 3.15 |
| Betcity | 2.14 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.41 | 3.45 | 2.6 |
Monaco
Getafe
Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Getafe
The Monaco - Getafe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
