UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Monkhaym 🇩🇪 - Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪 — 85%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
1Monkhaym 🇩🇪 — odds 29.00 · edge +3.3% · 14 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monkhaym 🇩🇪 - Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪 July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 19.54 / X 10.87 / 2 1.06
- 1X2 market: Monkhaym 🇩🇪 4.9% / X 8.7% / Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪 86.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
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Monkhaym 🇩🇪 - Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.00 6.7% | 17.00 5.9% | 29.00 3.5% | 19.00 5.3% | 26.00 3.9% | 18.00 5.6% | |
| X | 8.50 11.8% | 11.20 8.9% | 15.00 6.7% | 7.80 12.8% | 13.00 7.7% | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1.07 93.5% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.13 88.5% | 2.22 45.1% |
| yes | 4.80 20.8% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | — | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 5.20 19.2% | 6.50 15.4% | 9.50 10.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 10.80 9.3% | |
| X | 4.47 22.4% |
| 1.28 78.1% |
Full head-to-head historyMonkhaym 🇩🇪 - Fortuna Dyusseldorf 🇩🇪