Match center
Start
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
MTK Budapesht ππΊ - Kechkemet ππΊ
M
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
2
:
3
Finished
K
Kechkemet ππΊ
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction MTK Budapesht ππΊ - Kechkemet ππΊ July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like MTK Budapesht ππΊ.
Line favourite market consensus: MTK Budapesht ππΊ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.78 / 2 3.98
- 1X2 market: MTK Budapesht ππΊ 52.8% / X 24.2% / Kechkemet ππΊ 23.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.4%
1
52.8%
X
24.2%
2
23.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 11 books
1
1.66
Unibet
X
4.33
Bet365
2
4.90
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
W-D-L 7-2-1
Scored 2.44
Conceded 1.14
xG 2.11
xGA 0.97
Kechkemet ππΊ
W-D-L 2-4-4
Scored 1.69
Conceded 1.98
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
Rating 1810
Kechkemet ππΊ
Rating 1539
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
MTK Budapesht ππΊ - Kechkemet ππΊ
Form
2/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
Fonbet Β· line only
X
4.20
Fonbet Β· line only
1
1.60
Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet Β· line only
1X
1.15
Fonbet Β· line only
X2
2.20
Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.78
Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1
6.80
Fonbet Β· line only
2 0
3.40
Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1
1.92
Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.72
market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5
2.03
market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No
2.30
Fonbet Β· line only
Yes
1.55
Fonbet Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 3.85 26.0% | 4.22 23.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.25 23.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.36 42.4% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 1.98 50.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.08 48.1% | |
| X | 2.41 41.5% |
| 4.91 20.4% |
Match center
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
W
W
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
3:1
Vashash ππΊ
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
4:2
Kazintsbartsikay ππΊ
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMTK Budapesht ππΊ - Kechkemet ππΊ
MTK Budapesht ππΊ
0
matches total
Biggest win
β
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
β
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
β
draw with the most goals