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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

NAC Breda - OFI

Football
N
NAC Breda
- : -
Not started
O
OFI
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 NAC Breda47%

Pure model vs market (1 · NAC Breda): model 58% · market 46% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market

1 · NAC Breda47.0%
X · draw25.1%
2 · OFI27.9%

Model estimate: win NAC Breda 47.0%, draw 25.1%, win OFI 27.9%. Model favourite — NAC Breda.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1NAC Breda (odds3.04) Score 2:0 confidence 62%
  • Model backs Breda 🇳🇱: probability 62% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.04)
  • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NAC Breda - OFI July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like NAC Breda.

Line favourite market consensus: NAC Breda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.63 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: NAC Breda 46.4% / X 25.3% / OFI 28.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 46.4%
X 25.3%
2 28.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.80 → 1.80
1X2 X 3.95 → 3.95
1X2 P2 3.60 ↑ 3.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

NAC Breda 2 : 1 OFI
11.97
X3.70
23.45

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model NAC Breda 47%
💹 Market NAC Breda 4635%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

NAC Breda - OFI

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
NAC Breda 46.3% 47.0% market and model agree
Draw 25.5% 25.1% draw risk
OFI 28.2% 27.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.0% / 25.1% / 27.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,525 / 1,265 NAC Breda / OFI
RD 206 / 268 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,114-1,937 / 729-1,801 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 Fonbet · no value · model 27.9%
X 3.95 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 47.0%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 74.9%
1X 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%
X2 1.90 Fonbet · no value · model 53.0%
Handicap
2 -1 1.58 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.49 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.66 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
3.20 31.3% 3.46 28.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.64 37.9%
yes 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.64 61.0% 1.74 57.5% 1.90 52.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 31.00 3.2%
0_4 67.00 1.5%
1_0 9.50 10.5%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 9.50 10.5%
2_3 19.00 5.3%
2_4 46.00 2.2%
2_5 101.00 1.0%
3_0 17.00 5.9%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.82 (Winline) · X 4 (Betcity) · 2 3.7 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.8 3.95 3.7
Winline 1.82 3.85 3.45
Fonbet 1.8 3.95 3.7
Betcity 1.78 4 3.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
NAC Breda
W L W L
25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
NAC Breda 2:1 Sporting Lokeren 🇧🇪
18.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
NAC Breda 1:3 Ekselsior 🇳🇱
15.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
NAC Breda 2:1 KhSV Khuk 🇳🇱
08.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
NAC Breda 0:2 Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
OFI
L
25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
OFI 0:4 Gou Ekhed Igls 🇳🇱Gou Ekhed Igls 🇳🇱
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNAC Breda - OFI

NAC Breda
0 matches total
OFI
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history