UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
NAC Breda - OFI
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 NAC Breda — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · NAC Breda): model 58% · market 46% Δ +12 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win NAC Breda 47.0%, draw 25.1%, win OFI 27.9%. Model favourite — NAC Breda.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Breda 🇳🇱: probability 62% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.04)
- • edge over the line +29 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction NAC Breda - OFI July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like NAC Breda.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.63 / 2 3.24
- 1X2 market: NAC Breda 46.4% / X 25.3% / OFI 28.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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NAC Breda - OFI
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.46 28.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.64 37.9% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.23 81.3% |
| x2 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.8 | 3.95 | 3.7 |
| Winline | 1.82 | 3.85 | 3.45 |
| Fonbet | 1.8 | 3.95 | 3.7 |
| Betcity | 1.78 | 4 | 3.5 |
Gou Ekhed Igls 🇳🇱
Full head-to-head historyNAC Breda - OFI
Match history
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