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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Nafta 🇸🇮 - Gonved 🇭🇺

Futbol
N
Nafta 🇸🇮
0 : 3
Finished
G
Gonved 🇭🇺

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nafta 🇸🇮 - Gonved 🇭🇺 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gonved 🇭🇺.

Line favourite market consensus: Gonved 🇭🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.48 / 2 2.23
  • 1X2 market: Nafta 🇸🇮 33.2% / X 26.1% / Gonved 🇭🇺 40.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 33.2%
X 26.1%
2 40.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Nafta 🇸🇮
No recent matches
Gonved 🇭🇺
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 1
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Nafta 🇸🇮 - Gonved 🇭🇺

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.43 Fonbet · line only
1X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.70 37.0% 2.79 35.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.04 96.2% 2.06 48.5%
yes 7.90 12.7% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.26 79.4% 1.43 69.9%
1x 1.80 55.6% 1.97 50.8% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.11 90.1% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.46 22.4%
X 2.17 46.1%
2.41 41.5%
Match center
Gonved 🇭🇺
W
03.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Gonved 🇭🇺 2:1 Shturm II 🇦🇹
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points