UEFA Europa League. Second qualifying round. Second leg
Nant π«π· - Al Wakrah
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model Β· comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Nant π«π· β 64%
Pure model vs market (1 Β· Nant π«π·): model 39% Β· market 66% Ξ β27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nant π«π· 64.4%, draw 19.8%, win Al Wakrah 15.8%. Model favourite β Nant π«π·.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Nant π«π·: probability 58% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.29)
- • no edge over the line (-19 pp) β informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nant π«π· - Al Wakrah July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nant π«π·.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 4.67 / 2 6.45
- 1X2 market: Nant π«π· 66.2% / X 19.6% / Al Wakrah 14.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line β for reference, not a betting recommendation.β odds shortened (money on this outcome), β drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction β’ nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Nant π«π· - Al Wakrah
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | |
| X | 4.65 21.5% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.65 21.5% |
| 6.74 14.8% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.75 14.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.19 45.7% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.50 40.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 0_3 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 0_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 1_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_3 | 50.00 2.0% |
| 1_4 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Odds Β· 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.4 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
| Fonbet | 1.4 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.43 | 4.7 | 5.8 |
Kan π«π·
Full head-to-head historyNant π«π· - Al Wakrah
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form