Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Napoli go head-to-head with Osasuna on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 1-0-1, Osasuna 2-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Osasuna โ 50%
Model estimate: win Napoli 30.9%, draw 18.9%, win Osasuna 50.3%. Model favourite โ Osasuna.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 2.60 38.5% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.90 52.6% |
Napoli
Aretstso ๐ฎ๐น
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Osasuna
The Napoli - Osasuna breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
