Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Napoli - Osasuna
Napoli go head-to-head with Osasuna on August 5, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 1-0-1, Osasuna 2-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Osasuna โ 50%
Model estimate: win Napoli 30.9%, draw 18.9%, win Osasuna 50.3%. Model favourite โ Osasuna.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Osasuna ๐ช๐ธ: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +8 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Osasuna August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / X 4.60 / 2 5.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Napoli - Osasuna
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.55 39.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 2.60 38.5% |
| 5.60 17.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Napoli
Aretstso ๐ฎ๐น
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Osasuna
Match history
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The Napoli - Osasuna breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form