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World: Club Friendlies
World: Club Friendlies
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

World: Club Friendlies

Napoli - Osasuna

Football
Napoli
Napoli
- : -
Not started
O
Osasuna

Napoli go head-to-head with Osasuna on August 5, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.

Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 3-0-2, Osasuna 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Napoli โ€” 56%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Napoli): model 36% ยท market 57% ฮ” โˆ’21 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Napoli56.2%
X ยท draw22.7%
2 ยท Osasuna21.1%

Model estimate: win Napoli 56.2%, draw 22.7%, win Osasuna 21.1%. Model favourite โ€” Napoli.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Osasuna (odds2.40) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Osasuna ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • edge over the line +8 pp โ€” value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Osasuna August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / X 4.15 / 2 4.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books ยท best price +2.2%
1 57.5%
X 22.8%
2 19.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.48 โ†‘ 1.62
1X2 X 4.60 โ†“ 4.15
1X2 P2 5.80 โ†“ 4.80

โ†“ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ†‘ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
League table
Napoli
#3563 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
Osasuna
#179 ptsGP 33-0-06:2
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Napoli
W-D-L 6-0-4 Scored 1.57 Conceded 1.34 xG 2.62 xGA 0.76
Osasuna
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.34 Conceded 1.12 xG 1.49 xGA 1.18

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Napoli
Rating 1638
Osasuna
Rating 1858

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Napoli 2 : 1 Osasuna
11.59
X4.15
25.06

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 57.9% @ 1.62 / X 22.6% @ 4.15 / 2 19.5% @ 4.80
Match center

Napoli - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Napoli 57.5% 56.2% market and model agree
Draw 22.8% 22.7% draw risk
Osasuna 19.8% 21.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.2% / 22.7% / 21.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,492 / 1,658 Napoli ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น / Osasuna ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ
RD 256 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 979-2,005 / 1,075-2,241 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.80 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 21.1%
X 4.15 Fonbet ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.62 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 56.2%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 77.3%
1X 1.17 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 78.9%
X2 2.25 Fonbet ยท no value ยท model 43.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.80 Fonbet ยท line only
2 +1 7.00 Fonbet ยท line only
2 0 3.45 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -1 1.95 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet ยท line only
Yes 1.62 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.93 51.8%
X 2.56 39.1%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 1 2.29 43.7%
Under 1.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Napoli
W L W W L
2026-07-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Napoli Napoli 2:0 Carrarese
2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026
Napoli Napoli 1:3 Arezzo
2026-05-24 Serie A 25/26
Napoli Napoli 1:0 Udinese
2026-05-17 Serie A 25/26
Napoli Pisa 0:3 Napoli
2026-05-11 Serie A 25/26
Napoli Napoli 2:3 Bologna
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Osasuna
W W W L L
2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Norwich City 1:2 Osasuna Osasuna
2026-07-29 Club Friendly Games 2026
Ipswich Town 1:2 Osasuna Osasuna
2026-07-24 Club Friendly Games 2026
Osasuna 2:0 Racing Santander Osasuna
2026-05-23 LaLiga 25/26
Getafe 1:0 Osasuna Osasuna
2026-05-17 LaLiga 25/26
Osasuna 1:2 Espanyol Osasuna
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Osasuna

Napoli
0 matches total
Osasuna
Biggest win โ€” largest score margin
Highest-scoring match โ€” most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw โ€” draw with the most goals

Match history