World: Club Friendlies
Napoli - Osasuna
Napoli go head-to-head with Osasuna on August 5, 2026 in the World: Club Friendlies.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 3-0-2, Osasuna 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Napoli โ 56%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Napoli): model 36% ยท market 57% ฮ โ21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Napoli 56.2%, draw 22.7%, win Osasuna 21.1%. Model favourite โ Napoli.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Osasuna ๐ช๐ธ: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +8 pp โ value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Osasuna August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / X 4.15 / 2 4.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.โ odds shortened (money on this outcome), โ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Napoli - Osasuna
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.25 44.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.93 51.8% | |
| X | 2.56 39.1% |
| 5.20 19.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.29 43.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Napoli
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Osasuna
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Napoli - Osasuna breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form