Match center
Start
28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Newport County - Reading
N
Newport County
-
:
-
Finished
R
Reading
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Reading — 51%
Pure model vs market (2 · Reading): model 41% · market 52% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Newport County 24.7%, draw 24.1%, win Reading 51.3%. Model favourite — Reading.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Reading (odds1.75)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Reding 🏴: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newport County - Reading July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Reading.
Line favourite market consensus: Reading. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.73 / 2 1.75
- 1X2 market: Newport County 23.9% / X 24.3% / Reading 51.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.3%
1
23.9%
X
24.3%
2
51.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Newport County
1
:
2
Reading
14.01
X3.70
21.72
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
LIVE
Now in play
score 0:2 · 66'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Reading 51%
💹 Market
Reading 5182%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Newport County - Reading
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Newport County
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
24.2%
24.1%
draw risk
Reading
51.9%
51.3%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
24.7% / 24.1% / 51.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,545 / 1,697
Newport County / Reading
RD
215 / 225
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,116-1,974 / 1,248-2,147
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 51.3%
X
3.73
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.81
market consensus · no value · model 24.7%
Double chance
12
1.02
Fonbet · no value · model 75.9%
1X
1.96
market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
X2
1.04
Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.29
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.96
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.85 26.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.78 26.5% | |
| X | 3.74 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.74 26.7% |
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.72 58.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.43 69.9% | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.96 51.0% | 11.00 9.1% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.04 96.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_3 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_4 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 1_5 | 55.00 1.8% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2024-11-12 · Nyuport Kaunti 0:3 Reding
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3.9 (Pari) · X 3.85 (Pari) · 2 1.8 (Liga Stavok)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.9 | 3.85 | 1.77 |
| Winline | 3.75 | 3.7 | 1.78 |
| Fonbet | 3.9 | 3.85 | 1.77 |
| Betcity | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
| Liga Stavok | 3.75 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Newport County
D
D
L
W
Newport County
2:2
Bat 🏴
Newport County
0:0
Bristol Siti 🏴
Bristol Siti 🏴
Newport County
1:2
Gloster 🏴
Gloster 🏴
Newport County
3:0
Bristol MF 🏴
1
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
5
Points
Reading
W
L
W
Reading
2:0
Uoking 🏴
Uoking 🏴
Reading
0:1
Khetafe 🇪🇸
Reading
2:1
Farnboro 🏴
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.7
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewport County - Reading
Newport County
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form