Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Newport County take on Roma on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Newport County 3-0-2, Roma 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Roma the favourite at about 80%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Roma — 78%
Pure model vs market (2 · Roma): model 37% · market 80% Δ −43 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Newport County 8.4%, draw 13.8%, win Roma 77.8%. Model favourite — Roma.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Roma.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 11 books (1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.90 6.7% | 13.00 7.7% | 12.50 8.0% | 14.00 7.1% | 15.00 6.7% | 14.00 7.1% | |
| X | 6.85 14.6% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.70 14.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.60 13.2% |
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.47 68.0% | 1.41 70.9% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% | 2.77 36.1% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 4.80 20.8% | 6.70 14.9% |
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 13.50 7.4% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_3 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_4 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_5 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_6 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_7 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 0_8 | 80.00 1.3% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 1_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_3 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 1_4 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_5 | 19.00 5.3% |
Full head-to-head historyNewport County - Roma
The Newport County - Roma breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
