UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
NK Radomlje - Rijeka
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Rijeka — 67%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Xdraw — odds 6.70 · edge +5.9% · 12 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction NK Radomlje - Rijeka July 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rijeka.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.25 / X 5.29 / 2 1.22
- 1X2 market: NK Radomlje 8.9% / X 17.1% / Rijeka 74.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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NK Radomlje - Rijeka
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.20 12.2% | 11.50 8.7% | 10.00 10.0% | 10.50 9.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.50 8.7% | |
| X | 5.00 20.0% | 5.35 18.7% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.70 17.5% |
| 1.25 80.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 2.27 44.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.02 98.0% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 3.80 26.3% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.30 23.3% |
| x2 | — | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 11.20 8.9% | |
| X | 2.75 36.4% |
| 1.54 64.9% |
Full head-to-head historyNK Radomlje - Rijeka