UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Scunthorpe United — 77%
Pure model vs market (2 · Scunthorpe United): model 40% · market 87% Δ −47 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win North Ferriby 8.8%, draw 14.4%, win Scunthorpe United 76.8%. Model favourite — Scunthorpe United.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs North Ferriby FC 🏴: probability 61% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
- • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United July 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Scunthorpe United.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.80 / X 15.00 / 2 1.03
- Glicko: North Ferriby 8.8% / X 14.4% / Scunthorpe United 76.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 2.09 47.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 4.70 21.3% | 9.50 10.5% |
| x2 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 10.10 9.9% | |
| X | 2.79 35.8% |
| 1.55 64.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.71 21.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.66 60.2% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 16 | 6.9 | 1.14 |
| Fonbet | 16 | 6.9 | 1.14 |
| Betcity | 15.5 | 7.1 | 1.12 |
| Liga Stavok | 14 | 7.2 | 1.14 |
Full head-to-head historyNorth Ferriby - Scunthorpe United
Match history
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