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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United

Football
N
North Ferriby
2 : 2
Finished
S
Scunthorpe United
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Scunthorpe United77%

Pure model vs market (2 · Scunthorpe United): model 40% · market 87% Δ −47 pp model estimates below the market

1 · North Ferriby8.8%
market7%
X · draw14.4%
market6%
2 · Scunthorpe United ✓ Pick76.8%
market87%

Model estimate: win North Ferriby 8.8%, draw 14.4%, win Scunthorpe United 76.8%. Model favourite — Scunthorpe United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1North Ferriby (odds1.72) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs North Ferriby FC 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿: probability 61% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.72)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Scunthorpe United.

Line favourite Fonbet: Scunthorpe United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.80 / X 15.00 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: North Ferriby 8.8% / X 14.4% / Scunthorpe United 76.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 6.5%
X 6.0%
2 ✓ Pick 87.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

North Ferriby 1 : 1 Scunthorpe United
113.50
X6.30
21.13

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

North Ferriby - Scunthorpe United

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 76.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.329 / LogLoss 1.936
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
North Ferriby 7.0% 8.8%
Draw 14.0% 14.4% draw risk
Scunthorpe United 79.1% 76.8% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 8.8% / 14.4% / 76.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,626 North Ferriby / Scunthorpe United
RD 350 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,042-2,211 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 76.8%
X 6.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 85.6%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 23.2%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 91.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 1.69 59.2%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.01 99.0%
1x 4.70 21.3% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.05 95.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
10.10 9.9%
X 2.79 35.8%
1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 0.5 4.71 21.2%
Under 1.5 1.66 60.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-27 · Reddich Yunayted 3:1 Koventri Yunayted
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 16 (Pari) · X 7.2 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.14 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 16 6.9 1.14
Fonbet 16 6.9 1.14
Betcity 15.5 7.1 1.12
Liga Stavok 14 7.2 1.14
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Scunthorpe United
L L W W
22.07 16:45 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Scunthorpe United 0:2 Bakston 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
18.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Scunthorpe United 0:4 Spalding Yunayted 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
16.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Scunthorpe United 1:0 Skegness Town 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
07.07 16:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Scunthorpe United 2:1 Brigg Taun 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points