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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

03.08.2026 18:00 UTC

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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Newport County - AS Roma

Football

Newport County

- : -

Not started

AS Roma

Newport County take on AS Roma on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Newport County 1-2-2, AS Roma 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Newport County — 49%

1 · Newport County49.4%

X · draw19.0%

2 · AS Roma31.6%

Model estimate: win Newport County 49.4%, draw 19.0%, win AS Roma 31.6%. Model favourite — Newport County.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Newport County (odds8.50) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Nyuport 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿: probability 50% vs 12% on the line (odds 8.50)
• edge over the line +38 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newport County - AS Roma August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.40 / X 5.80 / 2 1.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%

1 9.7%

X 15.8%

2 74.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

League table

Newport County

#2504 ptsGP 31-1-14:7

AS Roma

#8571 ptsGP 20-1-14:7

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Newport County

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.81 xGA 1.17

AS Roma

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.97 xGA 1.07 Corners 1.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Newport County

Rating 1639

AS Roma

Rating 1656

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 03.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 9.7% @ 9.40 / X 15.8% @ 5.80 / 2 74.5% @ 1.23

Match center

Newport County - AS Roma

Form 5/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Newport County 9.7% 49.4% Glicko contrarian

Draw 15.8% 19.0% draw risk

AS Roma 74.5% 31.6% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 49.4% / 19.0% / 31.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,445 / 1,508 Newport County / Roma 🇮🇹

RD 193 / 277 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,059-1,831 / 953-2,063 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.23 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.6%

X 5.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 9.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 49.4%

Both teams to score

No 1.97 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.97 50.8%
yes	1.78 56.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	7.60 13.2%
X	3.04 32.9%
	1.57 63.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.83 54.6%
Under 1.5	1.87 53.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Leon
	1.96 51.0%
	1.79 55.9%

Match center

Newport County

L D D L W

28.07 16:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newport County 0:4 Reding 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

25.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newport County 2:2 Bat 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

21.07 09:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newport County 0:0 Bristol Siti 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newport County 1:2 Gloster 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Newport County 3:0 Bristol MF 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

5 Points

AS Roma

26.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

AS Roma 3:3 Kann 🇫🇷

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewport County - AS Roma

Newport County

0 matches total

AS Roma

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Newport County - AS Roma

AI match prediction Newport County - AS Roma August 3, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Newport County - AS Roma

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Handicap

Match history