UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Nyuri Siti (Sir) - Bangor
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Bangor — 57%
Pure model vs market (2 · Bangor): model 35% · market 58% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nyuri Siti (Sir) 21.9%, draw 21.5%, win Bangor 56.6%. Model favourite — Bangor.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bangor (Sir): probability 64% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.38)
- • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nyuri Siti (Sir) - Bangor July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.60 / X 4.27 / 2 1.58
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Nyuri Siti (Sir) - Bangor
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.54 39.4% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.05 48.8% | 2.23 44.8% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.67 21.4% | |
| X | 2.51 39.8% |
| 2.05 48.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Fonbet | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Betcity | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.38 |
| Liga Stavok | 5.6 | 4.6 | 1.44 |
Bangor
Ards (Sir)
Kuins Yuniversiti (Sir)
Full head-to-head historyNyuri Siti (Sir) - Bangor
Match history
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The Nyuri Siti (Sir) - Bangor breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form