UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Oldham - Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ โ 50%
Pure model vs market (2 ยท Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ): model 47% ยท market 52% ฮ โ5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Oldham 25.0%, draw 24.6%, win Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ 50.3%. Model favourite โ Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) โ informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Oldham - Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.11 / X 3.80 / 2 1.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Oldham - Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.85 54.1% |
| x2 | 1.27 78.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.67 21.4% | |
| X | 2.17 46.1% |
| 2.36 42.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.61 38.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.21 31.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| Winline | 3.75 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Fonbet | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| Betcity | 3.4 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
Bolton ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Bristol Siti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Full head-to-head historyOldham - Stokport Kaunti ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
Match history
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