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28.07.2026 14:30 UTC
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28.07.2026 14:30 UTC
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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Orient ๐ญ๐ท - Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
O
Orient ๐ญ๐ท
-
:
-
Not started
G
Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
๐ฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Orient ๐ญ๐ท โ 76%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Orient ๐ญ๐ท): model 54% ยท market 77% ฮ โ23 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Orient ๐ญ๐ท 75.7%, draw 14.2%, win Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท 10.1%. Model favourite โ Orient ๐ญ๐ท.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Orient ๐ญ๐ท - Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Orient ๐ญ๐ท. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 6.70 / 2 10.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 ✓ Pick
77.3%
X
13.7%
2
9.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Orient ๐ญ๐ท - Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
Form
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Orient ๐ญ๐ท
77.1%
75.7%
market and model agree
Draw
13.7%
14.2%
draw risk
Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
9.1%
10.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
75.7% / 14.2% / 10.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,658 / 1,500
Orient ๐ญ๐ท / Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
RD
291 / 350
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,076-2,240 / 800-2,200
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.80
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 10.1%
X
6.65
market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.19
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.7%
Double chance
12
1.07
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 85.8%
1X
1.02
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 89.9%
X2
4.30
market consensus ยท no value ยท model 24.3%
Total
Over 2.5
1.21
market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5
3.90
market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No
2.32
market consensus ยท line only
Yes
1.57
market consensus ยท line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 4.30 23.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% |
| 7.50 13.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.74 57.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
Match center
Orient ๐ญ๐ท
W
Orient ๐ญ๐ท
3:1
Vrhnika ๐ธ๐ฎ
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyOrient ๐ญ๐ท - Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท
Orient ๐ญ๐ท
0
matches total
Biggest win
โ
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
โ
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
โ
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Orient ๐ญ๐ท - Grobnichan ๐ญ๐ท breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form