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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
29.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Not started

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท - Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท

Football
O
Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
- : -
Not started
G
Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
๐ŸŽฏ PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” 76%

Pure model vs market (1 ยท Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท): model 53% ยท market 77% ฮ” โˆ’24 pp model estimates below the market

1 ยท Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท ✓ Pick75.7%
market77%
X ยท draw14.2%
market14%
2 ยท Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท10.1%
market9%

Model estimate: win Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 75.7%, draw 14.2%, win Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 10.1%. Model favourite โ€” Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท - Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 6.70 / 2 10.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 ✓ Pick 77.3%
X 13.7%
2 8.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 3 : 1 Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
11.18
X6.50
210.30

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท - Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 77.2% 75.7% market and model agree
Draw 13.8% 14.2% draw risk
Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 9.1% 10.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.7% / 14.2% / 10.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,658 / 1,500 Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท / Grobnichan ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,076-2,240 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.80 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 10.1%
X 6.65 market consensus ยท draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.19 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 75.7%
Double chance
12 1.07 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 85.8%
1X 1.02 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 89.9%
X2 4.30 market consensus ยท no value ยท model 24.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.21 market consensus ยท line only
Under 2.5 3.90 market consensus ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 4.30 23.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.54 64.9%
X 3.13 32.0%
7.50 13.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.74 57.5%
Under 0.5 5.30 18.9%
Under 1.5 1.98 50.5%
Match center
Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท
W
25.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Orient ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท 3:1 Vrhnika ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points