UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying rounds. Second Leg
Orient ๐ญ๐ท - NK Grobnican
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model ยท comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Orient ๐ญ๐ท โ 77%
Pure model vs market (1 ยท Orient ๐ญ๐ท): model 53% ยท market 79% ฮ โ26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Orient ๐ญ๐ท 77.3%, draw 13.6%, win NK Grobnican 9.2%. Model favourite โ Orient ๐ญ๐ท.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Orient ๐ญ๐ท - NK Grobnican July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Orient ๐ญ๐ท.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.15 / X 6.82 / 2 11.63
- 1X2 market: Orient ๐ญ๐ท 78.8% / X 13.4% / NK Grobnican 7.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction โข nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Orient ๐ญ๐ท - NK Grobnican
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | |
| X | 6.20 16.1% | 6.95 14.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.50 13.3% |
| 11.00 9.1% | 12.20 8.2% | 11.00 9.1% | 10.25 9.8% | 13.00 7.7% | 13.00 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 3.00 33.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_1 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_2 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 3_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 3_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 3_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds ยท 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.2 | 6.6 | 10.5 |
| Winline | 1.19 | 6.6 | 9.4 |
| Fonbet | 1.2 | 6.6 | 10.5 |
| Betcity | 1.18 | 6.7 | 9.8 |
Full head-to-head historyOrient ๐ญ๐ท - NK Grobnican
Match history
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