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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Osijek - Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί

Football
Osijek
Osijek
0 : 4
Finished
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osijek - Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί.

Line favourite market consensus: Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.68 / X 3.84 / 2 2.17
  • 1X2 market: Osijek 34.2% / X 23.7% / Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί 42.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 34.1%
X 23.8%
2 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 2.70 BetVictor
X 4.10 Marathonbet
2 2.45 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Osijek
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.31 xG 1.63 xGA 1.57
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 4.08 Conceded 1.27 xG 2.96 xGA 1.25

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Osijek
Rating 1692
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
Rating 1759

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Osijek
No recent matches
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density β€” from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Osijek - Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 Fonbet Β· line only
X 4.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 2.60 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.62 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.19 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 1.70 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 3.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.70 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.20 45.5% 2.76 36.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.90 34.5%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.20 23.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3%
2.45 40.8% 2.14 46.7% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.70 37.0% 2.74 36.5%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7%
x2 1.43 69.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.13 32.0%
X 2.58 38.8%
2.54 39.4%
Match center
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί
W
02.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Paksh πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί 2:1 Dandi 🏴󠁧󠁒󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points