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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪

Futbol
P
PAOK
4 : 0
Finished
V
Vesterlo 🇧🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK.

Line favourite market consensus: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 4.13 / 2 3.60
  • 1X2 market: PAOK 51.9% / X 22.3% / Vesterlo 🇧🇪 25.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 51.9%
X 22.4%
2 25.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 8 books
1 1.87 Betano
X 4.00 Bet365
2 4.00 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
PAOK
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 2.26 Conceded 1.77 xG 1.75 xGA 1.36 Corners 8.0
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.26 Conceded 1.63 xG 1.67 xGA 1.45

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
PAOK
Rating 1783
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
Rating 1528

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

PAOK
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet
1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%
3.76 26.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.78 26.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.11 90.1% 2.55 39.2%
yes 5.10 19.6% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.76 56.8% 1.94 51.6% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.26 44.3%
X 2.37 42.2%
4.26 23.5%
Match center
PAOK
W
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
PAOK 4:1 Beveren 🇧🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪

PAOK
0 matches total
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history