Match center
Start
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪
P
PAOK
4
:
0
Finished
V
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪 July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PAOK.
Line favourite market consensus: PAOK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 4.13 / 2 3.60
- 1X2 market: PAOK 51.9% / X 22.3% / Vesterlo 🇧🇪 25.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
51.9%
X
22.4%
2
25.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 8 books
1
1.87
Betano
X
4.00
Bet365
2
4.00
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
PAOK
W-D-L 4-1-5
Scored 2.26
Conceded 1.77
xG 1.75
xGA 1.36
Corners 8.0
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.26
Conceded 1.63
xG 1.67
xGA 1.45
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
PAOK
Rating 1783
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
Rating 1528
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
PAOK
Normal schedule- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Vesterlo 🇧🇪
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
PAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.65
market consensus · line only
X
4.90
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.15
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X2
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.25
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
9.00
Fonbet · line only
2 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.48
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Yes
5.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 3.76 26.6% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.78 26.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.11 90.1% | 2.55 39.2% |
| yes | 5.10 19.6% | 1.47 68.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 9.50 10.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.26 44.3% | |
| X | 2.37 42.2% |
| 4.26 23.5% |
Match center
PAOK
W
PAOK
4:1
Beveren 🇧🇪
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPAOK - Vesterlo 🇧🇪
PAOK
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals